UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
36%
Spann
64%
Guskov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:16
Ryan
Ryan Spann
"Superman"
24 – 11
6'5"79" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Bogdan
Bogdan Guskov
"Hitman"
18 – 3
Knockout Artist4-fight win streak33 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 76

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guskov

Guskov holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Spann has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Guskov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Spann's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Spann
Guskov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
76"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spann
Guskov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.3
75.8
54.8
Performance Avg
65.7
50
Quality of Victory
56
10
Momentum Score
100
Spann
Guskov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
3.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
28
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground14
Spann
Guskov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Spann
Guskov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/35 fights
Chin rating based on
6/21 fights
Spann
Guskov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Spann
Guskov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Spann
Guskov
Striking5.3 / 9.1Volume2.9 / 1.6Grappling3.7 / 2.0Wrestling2.6 / 1.4Submission4.0 / 2.5Pressure7.5 / 9.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.4
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.6
Spann
Strike Zones
Guskov
Spann
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD0BODY0LEGS28 absorbed
Guskov
Attacking
28HEAD0BODY0LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Spann targets the head (78% of attacks) — Guskov absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Guskov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Spann
RND
Guskov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Spann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W2.3L5.0W2.7L5.3W6.0W2.7L6.7L4.8L5.6W4.3L5.0W5.2W2018-092020-092022-112024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Guskov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0102.3L5.0W5.7W6.8W6.2W2023-092024-022024-042025-012025-07
WinLossTrend

Spann · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

Guskov · Last 5

Upcoming
Jan Blachowicz
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R2
Ryan SpannRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Zac PaugaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

News & Media

Ryan Spann · Bogdan Guskov
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