METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
37%
Spann
63%
Guskov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:16
★ Official Result
Bogdan GuskovwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:16
def. Ryan Spann · UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guskov
→
Actual result
Guskov wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Guskov holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Spann has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Spann's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guskov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SpannGuskov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Spann
Guskov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
76"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spann
Guskov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.9
71.1
53.3
Performance Avg
60.3
50
Quality of Victory
56
10
Momentum Score
100
Spann
Guskov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
8.8
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
9.0
2.8
Style: Volume
1.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
28
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground14
Spann
Guskov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spann
Guskov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/35 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Spann
Guskov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
100
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Spann
Guskov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spann
Guskov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
SpannGuskov
Strike Zones
Spann
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedGuskov
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spann targets the head (78% of attacks) — Guskov absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Guskov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spann
RND
Guskov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Spann · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxSubmission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
Guskov · Last 5
L · KO · R5
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
Upcoming
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R2
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04