METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Belgrade, Serbia
1 Aug 2026
Middleweight
VS
41%
Todorovic
59%
Valentin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:14
★ Official Result
Robert ValentinwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:14
def. Dusko Todorovic · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Valentin
→
Actual result
Valentin wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Todorovic at 41% vs Valentin at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Todorovic's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Valentin has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TodorovicValentin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Todorovic
Valentin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+77"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Todorovic
Valentin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
56.3
48.1
Performance Avg
48.4
56
Quality of Victory
54
0
Momentum Score
65
Todorovic
Valentin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
8.1
Style: Pressure
8.2
0.7
Style: Volume
0.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Todorovic
Valentin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Todorovic
Valentin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Todorovic
Valentin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
65
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Todorovic
Valentin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Todorovic
Valentin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
TodorovicValentin
Strike Zones
Todorovic
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedValentin
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Todorovic targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Valentin absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Valentin targets the body (100% of attacks) — Todorovic absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Todorovic
RND
Valentin
0/0R00/0
Todorovic · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Robert ValentinSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaSubmission
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Mansur Abdul-MalikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Valentin · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Dusko TodorovicSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Julien LeblancSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Ateba GautierKO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Torrez FinneyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ryan LoderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08