METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Jan 2013
Lightweight
VS
95%
Trinaldo
5%
Keith
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsSubmissionR2 · 1:50
def. CJ Keith · UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Trinaldo is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trinaldo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Keith has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoKeith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Keith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
48
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Keith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
1.8
48.6
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Trinaldo
Keith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.3
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Keith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trinaldo
Keith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Trinaldo
Keith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Trinaldo
Keith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Keith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TrinaldoKeith
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedKeith
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Keith absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Keith
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Danny RobertsDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
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W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Keith · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Francisco TrinaldoSubmission
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Ramsey NijemKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06