METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Jan 2013
Lightweight
VS
95%
Trinaldo
5%
Keith
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsSubmissionR2 · 1:50
def. CJ Keith · UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Trinaldo is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trinaldo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Trinaldo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Keith has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoKeith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Keith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
47
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Keith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
1.8
48.6
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Trinaldo
Keith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Keith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Keith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Trinaldo
Keith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Trinaldo
Keith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Keith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TrinaldoKeith
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedKeith
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Keith absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Keith
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Keith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Keith · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Ramsey NijemRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06