METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Bantamweight
VS
66%
Cruz
34%
Kenney
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dominick CruzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Casey Kenney · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cruz
→
Actual result
Cruz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cruz holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Kenney has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Cruz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CruzKenney
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cruz
Kenney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
68"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cruz
Kenney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
16.4
50.3
Performance Avg
43.5
37
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
55
Cruz
Kenney
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
3.3
8.3
Style: Volume
7.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
11
9
Body
3
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
23Distance17
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Cruz
Kenney
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cruz
Kenney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/28 fights
Chin rating based on
8/20 fights
Cruz
Kenney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
55
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Cruz
Kenney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cruz
Kenney
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
CruzKenney
Strike Zones
Cruz
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedKenney
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cruz targets the head (63% of attacks) — Kenney absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Kenney targets the head (61% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cruz
RND
Kenney
0/0R00/0
Cruz · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozDecision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyDecision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Cody GarbrandtDecision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
Kenney · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongDecision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Dominick CruzDecision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
W · Sub · R1
Louis SmolkaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05