UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Utica, USA
1 Jun 2018
Heavyweight
VS
62%
Harris
38%
Spitz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Harris
Harris holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Spitz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Harris has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Harris's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Harris
Spitz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"
Height
+6'7"
77"
Reach
+82"
42
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Harris
Spitz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.6
18.0
51.0
Performance Avg
46.0
58
Quality of Victory
60
65
Momentum Score
36
Harris
Spitz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
35%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
1
3
Body
1
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
8Distance10
1Clinch0
9Ground0
Harris
Spitz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Harris
Spitz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Harris
Spitz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Harris
Spitz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Harris
Spitz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HarrisSpitz
Strike Zones
Harris
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedSpitz
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Harris targets the head (78% of attacks) — Spitz absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Spitz targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Harris
RND
Spitz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Spitz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Harris · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Spitz · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Mark GodbeerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03