UFC 14: Showdown
Birmingham, USA
27 Jul 1997
Heavyweight
VS
95%
Kerr
5%
Horenstein
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:22
MK
Mark Kerr
"The Smashing Machine"
15 – 11
6'3"Switch57 yrs4-fight win streakStriker
CFR 32
MH
Moti Horenstein
1 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide62 yrsOrthodox6'4"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kerr

Kerr is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kerr has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 80 points.

Kerr has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Horenstein has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kerr
Horenstein
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
57+
Age
62
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Kerr
Horenstein
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.0
1.6
88.0
Performance Avg
0.0
80
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Kerr
Horenstein
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.2
66%
Strike Accuracy
33%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
14Ground1
Kerr
Horenstein
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kerr
Horenstein
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Kerr
Horenstein
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Kerr
Horenstein
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kerr
Horenstein
Striking7.0 / 0.0Volume2.0 / 0.0Grappling4.0 / 0.0Wrestling2.8 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Kerr
Strike Zones
Horenstein
Kerr
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Horenstein
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kerr targets the head (100% of attacks) — Horenstein absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Horenstein targets the body (100% of attacks) — Kerr absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kerr
RND
Horenstein
0/0R00/0

Kerr · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1997-071997-071997-101997-10
WinLossTrend

Horenstein · QOF Timeline

Avg: 1.5
0101.5L1.5L1996-071997-07
WinLossTrend

Kerr · Last 4

W · Sub · R1
Dwayne CasonRating 5
Submission
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10
W · KO · R1
Greg StottRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10
W · Sub · R1
Dan BobishRating 5
Submission
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07
W · KO · R1
Moti HorensteinRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07

Horenstein · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Mark KerrRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07
L · KO · R1
Mark ColemanRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 10: The Tournament · 1996-07

News & Media

Mark Kerr · Moti Horenstein
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