UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Bantamweight
VS
56%
Smith
44%
You
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:04
Elijah
Elijah Smith
"Swift"
10 – 1
5'9"71" reachOrthodox23 yrs3-fight win streakPressure Fighter
CFR 74
SY
SuYoung You
"Yoo-Jitsu"
16 – 4
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Smith

This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 56% vs You at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Smith
You
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
65"
23+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
You
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.9
58.4
66.9
Performance Avg
60.0
45
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
67
Smith
You
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
0.8
60%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
2Clinch0
8Ground0
Smith
You
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
You
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Smith
You
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
67
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Smith
You
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
You
Striking5.3 / 1.5Volume4.7 / 9.5Grappling3.5 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure7.7 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Smith
Strike Zones
You
Smith
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
You
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (100% of attacks) — You absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯You targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
You
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.3W6.4W2025-022025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

You · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.5W5.3W4.7L2024-112025-032025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Smith · Last 3

W · Sub · R2
SuYoung YouRating 6.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Toshiomi KazamaRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

You · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Elijah SmithRating 4.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
AJ CunninghamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Baergeng JieleyisiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

News & Media

Elijah Smith · SuYoung You
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