UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2016
Lightweight
VS
58%
Trujillo
42%
Rinaldi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Trujillo
This is a genuine toss-up — Trujillo at 58% vs Rinaldi at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Trujillo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Trujillo
Rinaldi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Trujillo
Rinaldi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.4
15.3
51.4
Performance Avg
39.7
46
Quality of Victory
40
90
Momentum Score
43
Trujillo
Rinaldi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
36%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
9
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance9
4Clinch1
3Ground0
Trujillo
Rinaldi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trujillo
Rinaldi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/21 fights
Trujillo
Rinaldi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Trujillo
Rinaldi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trujillo
Rinaldi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
TrujilloRinaldi
Strike Zones
Trujillo
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRinaldi
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trujillo targets the head (84% of attacks) — Rinaldi absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Rinaldi targets the head (90% of attacks) — Trujillo absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trujillo
RND
Rinaldi
0/0R00/0
Trujillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Rinaldi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Trujillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Sub · R3
James VickRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RinaldiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Tony SimsRating 5Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · R1
Gleison TibauRating 4UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
Rinaldi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason KnightRating 4.5Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
W · Sub · R1
Alvaro Herrera MendozaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Abel TrujilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05