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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
Fairfax, USA
11 Jan 2010
Welterweight
VS
60%
Story
40%
Lennox
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RS
Rick Story
"The Horror"
199
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
JL
Jesse Lennox
"The Ox"
144
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 11
★ Official Result
Rick StorywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jesse Lennox · UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Story
Actual result
Story wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Story holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Lennox has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Story has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Story's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
StoryLennox
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Story
Lennox
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
41+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Story
Lennox
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
11.2
46.0
Performance Avg
28.3
35
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
35
Story
Lennox
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
31%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Story
Lennox
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Story
Lennox
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Story
Lennox
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
Story
Lennox
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Story
Lennox
Striking2.9 / 0.7Volume6.6 / 0.7Grappling2.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.0 / 0.0Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Story
Strike Zones
Lennox
Story
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Lennox
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Story targets the head (57% of attacks) — Lennox absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Lennox targets the head (50% of attacks) — Story absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Story
RND
Lennox
0/0R00/0

Story · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.8L5.2W5.6W4.5W2.8L2009-062010-122012-102014-072016-08
WinLossTrend

Lennox · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5L4.0L2009-082010-012010-06
WinLossTrend

Story · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03

Lennox · Last 3

L · Sub · R3
Mike PyleRating 4
Submission
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
W · R3
Danillo VillefortRating 4.5
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08

News & Media

Rick Story · Jesse Lennox
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