UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
Fairfax, USA
11 Jan 2010
Welterweight
VS
60%
Story
40%
Lennox
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Story
Story holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Lennox has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Story has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Story's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Story
Lennox
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
41+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Story
Lennox
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
11.2
46.0
Performance Avg
28.3
35
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
35
Story
Lennox
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
31%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Story
Lennox
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Story
Lennox
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Story
Lennox
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
Story
Lennox
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Story
Lennox
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
StoryLennox
Strike Zones
Story
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedLennox
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Story targets the head (57% of attacks) — Lennox absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Lennox targets the head (50% of attacks) — Story absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Story
RND
Lennox
0/0R00/0
Story · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lennox · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
Lennox · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Mike PyleRating 4Submission
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
W · R3
Danillo VillefortRating 4.5UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08