UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
Newark, USA
18 Apr 2015
Middleweight
VS
58%
Souza
42%
Camozzi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Souza
This is a genuine toss-up — Souza at 58% vs Camozzi at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Souza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Souza's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Camozzi has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Souza
Camozzi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+75"
46
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Souza
Camozzi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
14.4
54.6
Performance Avg
37.6
53
Quality of Victory
31
56
Momentum Score
63
Souza
Camozzi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
56%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
4
Body
0
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Souza
Camozzi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Camozzi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
40
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
19/37 fights
Souza
Camozzi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
63
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Souza
Camozzi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
22%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Souza
Camozzi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
SouzaCamozzi
Strike Zones
Souza
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedCamozzi
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the body (67% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Camozzi targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Souza
RND
Camozzi
0/0R00/0
Souza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Camozzi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Souza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
Camozzi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02