METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
Newark, USA
18 Apr 2015
Middleweight
VS
58%
Souza
42%
Camozzi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:33
★ Official Result
Jacare SouzawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:33
def. Chris Camozzi · UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Souza
→
Actual result
Souza wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Souza at 58% vs Camozzi at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Souza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Risk flags
Souza's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Camozzi has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SouzaCamozzi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Souza
Camozzi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+75"
46
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Souza
Camozzi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
14.4
54.6
Performance Avg
37.6
53
Quality of Victory
31
56
Momentum Score
63
Souza
Camozzi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
3.0
2.0
Style: Volume
6.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
4
Body
0
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Souza
Camozzi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Souza
Camozzi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
40
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
19/37 fights
Souza
Camozzi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
63
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Souza
Camozzi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
22%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Souza
Camozzi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
SouzaCamozzi
Strike Zones
Souza
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedCamozzi
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the body (67% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Camozzi targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Souza
RND
Camozzi
0/0R00/0
Souza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanKO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
Camozzi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsKO/TKO
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