METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Stockholm, Sweden
24 Jan 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Gustafsson
48%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:15
★ Official Result
Anthony JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:15
def. Alexander Gustafsson · UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gustafsson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Gustafsson at 52% vs Johnson at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Gustafsson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GustafssonJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gustafsson
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
78"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gustafsson
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.8
23.1
50.3
Performance Avg
60.4
47
Quality of Victory
55
39
Momentum Score
100
Gustafsson
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
9.8
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.5
Style: Volume
2.6
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
29
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance9
0Clinch4
0Ground17
Gustafsson
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gustafsson
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Gustafsson
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Gustafsson
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
85%
5
KO / TKO Wins
11
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gustafsson
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
GustafssonJohnson
Strike Zones
Gustafsson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (80% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (97% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gustafsson
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gustafsson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesKO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierSubmission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaKO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierSubmission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05