UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
46%
Hill
54%
Souza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Souza
This is a genuine toss-up — Hill at 46% vs Souza at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Hill throws more volume but Souza connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hill's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill
Souza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
5'3"
64"+
Reach
63"
41
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hill
Souza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.2
42.9
36.7
Performance Avg
40.8
31
Quality of Victory
35
40
Momentum Score
40
Hill
Souza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
56%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
12
6
Body
8
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance21
0Clinch2
2Ground0
Hill
Souza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hill
Souza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Hill
Souza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Hill
Souza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
15%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hill
Souza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
HillSouza
Strike Zones
Hill
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedSouza
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hill targets the head (50% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Souza targets the head (52% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hill
RND
Souza
0/0R00/0
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Souza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
Xiong JingnanUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineRating 7.1Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Souza · Last 5
Upcoming
Ariane CarnelossiUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Piera RodriguezRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Yazmin JaureguiRating 5.3Submission
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

