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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Lightweight
VS
57%
Florian
43%
Maynard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KF
Kenny Florian
"KenFlo"
146
5'10"74" reachSouthpaw50 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
GM
Gray Maynard
137
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 13
★ Official Result
Gray MaynardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kenny Florian · UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Florian
Actual result
Maynard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Florian at 57% vs Maynard at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Florian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Florian has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Florian's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Maynard has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FlorianMaynard
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Florian
Maynard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
70"
50
Age
+47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Florian
Maynard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
13.3
55.4
Performance Avg
41.4
45
Quality of Victory
28
28
Momentum Score
60
Florian
Maynard
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground8
Florian
Maynard
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Florian
Maynard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
17/20 fights
Chin rating based on
20 fights
Florian
Maynard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
60
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Florian
Maynard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
9%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Florian
Maynard
Striking3.1 / 2.1Volume2.8 / 8.5Grappling5.1 / 2.2Wrestling3.5 / 1.5Submission5.8 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 2.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.5
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Florian
Strike Zones
Maynard
Florian
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Maynard
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Florian targets the head (60% of attacks) — Maynard absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Maynard targets the head (78% of attacks) — Florian absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Florian
RND
Maynard
0/0R00/0

Florian · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L4.2W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.0W3.4L5.7W5.5W5.5L4.5W6.0L2005-042007-042008-112011-062011-10
WinLossTrend

Maynard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W3.4L5.0W1.5L1.5L2.8L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W2.8L2007-092009-092013-052016-122018-10
WinLossTrend

Florian · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12

Maynard · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Fernando BrunoRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04

News & Media

Kenny Florian · Gray Maynard
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