UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Lightweight
VS
57%
Florian
43%
Maynard
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Florian
This is a genuine toss-up — Florian at 57% vs Maynard at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Florian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Florian has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Florian's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maynard has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Florian
Maynard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
70"
49
Age
+47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Florian
Maynard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
13.3
55.4
Performance Avg
41.4
45
Quality of Victory
28
28
Momentum Score
60
Florian
Maynard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground8
Florian
Maynard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Florian
Maynard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/20 fights
Chin rating based on
20 fights
Florian
Maynard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
60
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Florian
Maynard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
9%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Florian
Maynard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.5
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
FlorianMaynard
Strike Zones
Florian
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMaynard
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Florian targets the head (60% of attacks) — Maynard absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Maynard targets the head (78% of attacks) — Florian absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Florian
RND
Maynard
0/0R00/0
Florian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Maynard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Florian · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
Maynard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Ryan HallRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Fernando BrunoRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04