METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
63%
Andrade
37%
Calvillo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:54
★ Official Result
Jessica AndradewinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:54
def. Cynthia Calvillo · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Andrade
→
Actual result
Andrade wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Andrade holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Calvillo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Calvillo has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AndradeCalvillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Andrade
Calvillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'4"
62"
Reach
+64"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Calvillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
29.8
49.4
Performance Avg
42.8
45
Quality of Victory
38
79
Momentum Score
25
Andrade
Calvillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
2.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
10
2
Body
13
12
Leg
4
RangeRange
41Distance27
7Clinch0
0Ground0
Andrade
Calvillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Calvillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
48
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
13/15 fights
Andrade
Calvillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
25
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Andrade
Calvillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Calvillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
AndradeCalvillo
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
48 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedCalvillo
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
48 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (71% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Calvillo targets the body (48% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Calvillo
0/0R00/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Calvillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Calvillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11