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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Nashville, USA
20 Jan 2012
Featherweight
VS
96%
Pineda
4%
Schilling
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:37
Daniel
Daniel Pineda
"The Pit"
2817
5'7"69" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 53
PS
Pat Schilling
"Thrilling"
52
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox5'8"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Daniel PinedawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:37
def. Pat Schilling · UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pineda
Actual result
Pineda wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Pineda is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pineda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.

Risk flags

Pineda's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PinedaSchilling
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Pineda
Schilling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
69"
Reach
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pineda
Schilling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
2.4
47.4
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Pineda
Schilling
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.8
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
1
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Pineda
Schilling
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
8.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pineda
Schilling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/45 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Pineda
Schilling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Pineda
Schilling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pineda
Schilling
Striking2.8 / 0.0Volume0.8 / 0.0Grappling6.4 / 0.0Wrestling4.5 / 0.0Submission8.0 / 0.0Pressure8.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Pineda
Strike Zones
Schilling
Pineda
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY2LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Schilling
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY2LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pineda targets the head (84% of attacks) — Schilling absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Schilling targets the head (75% of attacks) — Pineda absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pineda
RND
Schilling
0/0R00/0

Pineda · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Darren Elkins
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel Wood
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Alex Caceres
Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Tucker Lutz
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
Upcoming
Andre Fili
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

Schilling · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Max Holloway
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
L · Sub · R1
Daniel Pineda
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01

News & Media

Daniel Pineda · Pat Schilling
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