UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Nashville, USA
20 Jan 2012
Featherweight
VS
96%
Pineda
4%
Schilling
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pineda
Pineda is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pineda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Pineda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pineda's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pineda
Schilling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
69"
Reach
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pineda
Schilling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
2.4
47.4
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Pineda
Schilling
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
26%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
1
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Pineda
Schilling
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pineda
Schilling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/45 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Pineda
Schilling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Pineda
Schilling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pineda
Schilling
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PinedaSchilling
Strike Zones
Pineda
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSchilling
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pineda targets the head (84% of attacks) — Schilling absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Schilling targets the head (75% of attacks) — Pineda absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pineda
RND
Schilling
0/0R00/0
Pineda · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Schilling · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Pineda · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R2
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Upcoming
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Schilling · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
L · Sub · R1
Daniel PinedaRating 2.4Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01