UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Oezdemir
54%
Krylov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Volkan
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
21 – 8
6'2"75" reachOrthodox36 yrsStriker
CFR 51
Nikita
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
31 – 11
Pressure Fighter34 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Krylov

This is a genuine toss-up — Oezdemir at 46% vs Krylov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Oezdemir throws more volume but Krylov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Krylov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Oezdemir
Krylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Krylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
59.8
50.8
Performance Avg
52.7
47
Quality of Victory
50
52
Momentum Score
100
Oezdemir
Krylov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
60%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
15
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance12
0Clinch4
0Ground4
Oezdemir
Krylov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oezdemir
Krylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
22/42 fights
Oezdemir
Krylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Oezdemir
Krylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
83%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oezdemir
Krylov
Striking6.7 / 5.3Volume3.8 / 2.5Grappling1.7 / 3.7Wrestling1.2 / 2.6Submission1.1 / 4.2Pressure6.3 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.2
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Oezdemir
Strike Zones
Krylov
Oezdemir
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Krylov
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (75% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Krylov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oezdemir
RND
Krylov
0/0R00/0

Oezdemir · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.1W5.0W5.0W2.1L3.9L6.5L5.2W4.6W4.4L7.0L5.2W6.7L7.0W5.8W7.4L5.9W2017-022018-102020-072023-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Krylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.0W2.1L5.0W5.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W1.5L3.3L5.8W5.9L5.3W7.0L2.2L5.0W5.3W5.4W2.5L3.5L6.3W2013-082016-052020-032025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Oezdemir · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

Krylov · Last 5

Upcoming
Robert Whittaker
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

News & Media

Volkan Oezdemir · Nikita Krylov
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