METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Oezdemir
54%
Krylov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nikita KrylovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Volkan Oezdemir · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krylov
→
Actual result
Krylov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Oezdemir at 46% vs Krylov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Krylov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OezdemirKrylov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oezdemir
Krylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Krylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
59.2
50.8
Performance Avg
51.6
47
Quality of Victory
50
52
Momentum Score
100
Oezdemir
Krylov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
7.5
3.8
Style: Volume
2.4
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
15
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance12
0Clinch4
0Ground4
Oezdemir
Krylov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
4.2
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oezdemir
Krylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
23/42 fights
Oezdemir
Krylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Oezdemir
Krylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
83%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oezdemir
Krylov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.2
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
OezdemirKrylov
Strike Zones
Oezdemir
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedKrylov
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (75% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Krylov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oezdemir
RND
Krylov
0/0R00/0
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKO
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Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovDecision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Krylov · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · KO · R3
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Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
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