UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Zagreb, Croatia
10 Apr 2016
Heavyweight
VS
76%
Lewis
24%
Gonzaga
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:48
Derrick
Derrick Lewis
"The Black Beast"
29 – 13
6'3"79" reachOrthodox41 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 59
GG
Gabriel Gonzaga
"Napao"
17 – 11
Striker47 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lewis

Lewis is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lewis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gonzaga has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lewis
Gonzaga
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
76"
41+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Gonzaga
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
18.6
57.5
Performance Avg
53.9
53
Quality of Victory
54
84
Momentum Score
59
Lewis
Gonzaga
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
48%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
16 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance0
9Clinch2
1Ground3
Lewis
Gonzaga
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Gonzaga
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
8
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
22/28 fights
Lewis
Gonzaga
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
59
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Lewis
Gonzaga
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
92%
16
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lewis
Gonzaga
Striking9.3 / 6.9Volume2.9 / 1.8Grappling0.5 / 2.9Wrestling0.3 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure7.5 / 8.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.8
Lewis
Strike Zones
Gonzaga
Lewis
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Gonzaga
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (88% of attacks) — Gonzaga absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Gonzaga targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lewis
RND
Gonzaga
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lewis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.4W5.1W3.4L5.9W4.9W6.8W2.1L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W4.5L5.3W3.2L2.7L2.0L5.6W7.3L5.6W6.2W4.3L2014-042016-072019-032022-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Gonzaga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W2.8L2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L5.0W5.0W6.6L1.5L2.8L4.5W2.7L2005-112008-072012-012014-122016-04
WinLossTrend

Lewis · Last 5

Upcoming
Josh Hokit
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Gonzaga · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Konstantin ErokhinRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R3
Mirko FilipovicRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01

News & Media

Derrick Lewis · Gabriel Gonzaga
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