METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jan 2015
Lightweight
VS
61%
Cerrone
39%
Jury
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Donald CerronewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Myles Jury · UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerrone
→
Actual result
Cerrone wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cerrone holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Jury has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jury has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CerroneJury
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerrone
Jury
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
73"
43
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerrone
Jury
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
17.8
53.0
Performance Avg
51.3
47
Quality of Victory
41
63
Momentum Score
50
Cerrone
Jury
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
10 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
2
Body
0
17
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance5
1Clinch0
7Ground0
Cerrone
Jury
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Jury
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Cerrone
Jury
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
50
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Cerrone
Jury
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
10
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerrone
Jury
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
CerroneJury
Strike Zones
Cerrone
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedJury
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Jury absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Jury targets the head (60% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerrone
RND
Jury
0/0R00/0
Cerrone · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Jury · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Cerrone · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko PriceUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
Jury · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12