METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Blaydes
49%
Rozenstruik
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Curtis BlaydeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jairzinho Rozenstruik · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blaydes
→
Actual result
Blaydes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Blaydes at 51% vs Rozenstruik at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rozenstruik has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Blaydes's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rozenstruik has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BlaydesRozenstruik
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Blaydes
Rozenstruik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
80"+
Reach
78"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blaydes
Rozenstruik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
51.3
53.4
Performance Avg
56.7
42
Quality of Victory
54
81
Momentum Score
56
Blaydes
Rozenstruik
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.4
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
8.0
4.8
Style: Volume
2.1
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Blaydes
Rozenstruik
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blaydes
Rozenstruik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/25 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Blaydes
Rozenstruik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
56
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Blaydes
Rozenstruik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
89%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blaydes
Rozenstruik
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
BlaydesRozenstruik
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRozenstruik
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blaydes
RND
Rozenstruik
0/0R00/0
Blaydes · Last 5
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