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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 77: Hostile Territory
Cincinnati, USA
20 Oct 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Bonnar
50%
Schafer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:47
SB
Stephan Bonnar
"The American Psycho"
159
6'4"79" reachOrthodox49 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
ES
Eric Schafer
"Red"
148
Pressure Fighter4-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Stephan BonnarwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:47
def. Eric Schafer · UFC 77: Hostile Territory

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bonnar
Actual result
Bonnar wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Bonnar at 50% vs Schafer at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Schafer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Risk flags

Bonnar's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Schafer has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BonnarSchafer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Bonnar
Schafer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
76"
49
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonnar
Schafer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
16.5
45.2
Performance Avg
46.9
40
Quality of Victory
56
48
Momentum Score
33
Bonnar
Schafer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.1
Style: Volume
0.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
22Ground0
Bonnar
Schafer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bonnar
Schafer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
28
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
9/22 fights
Bonnar
Schafer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Bonnar
Schafer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bonnar
Schafer
Striking3.6 / 4.0Volume5.1 / 0.7Grappling3.2 / 5.3Wrestling2.2 / 3.7Submission2.5 / 6.7Pressure5.1 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Bonnar
Strike Zones
Schafer
Bonnar
Attacking
22HEAD0BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Schafer
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD0BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bonnar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Schafer absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bonnar
RND
Schafer
0/0R00/0

Bonnar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anderson Silva
KO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle Kingsbury
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor Pokrajac
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof Soszynski
KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof Soszynski
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

Schafer · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jorge Rivera
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Aaron Simpson
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jason Brilz
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Ryan Bader
Decision
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio Mendes
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01

News & Media

Stephan Bonnar · Eric Schafer
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