UFC 77: Hostile Territory
Cincinnati, USA
20 Oct 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Bonnar
50%
Schafer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:47
SB
Stephan Bonnar
"The American Psycho"
15 – 9
6'4"79" reachOrthodox49 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
ES
Eric Schafer
"Red"
14 – 8
Pressure Fighter4-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bonnar

This is a genuine toss-up — Bonnar at 50% vs Schafer at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Schafer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Bonnar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bonnar's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Schafer has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bonnar
Schafer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
76"
49
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonnar
Schafer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
16.5
45.2
Performance Avg
46.9
40
Quality of Victory
56
48
Momentum Score
33
Bonnar
Schafer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
22Ground0
Bonnar
Schafer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bonnar
Schafer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
28
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
9/22 fights
Bonnar
Schafer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Bonnar
Schafer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bonnar
Schafer
Striking3.6 / 4.0Volume5.1 / 0.7Grappling3.2 / 5.3Wrestling2.2 / 3.7Submission2.5 / 6.7Pressure5.1 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Bonnar
Strike Zones
Schafer
Bonnar
Attacking
22HEAD0BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Schafer
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD0BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bonnar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Schafer absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bonnar
RND
Schafer
0/0R00/0

Bonnar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.2W7.3L5.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W1.5L2005-042006-062009-012010-122012-10
WinLossTrend

Schafer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W1.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2.8L2006-082008-092010-032012-01
WinLossTrend

Bonnar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

Schafer · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio MendesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01

News & Media

Stephan Bonnar · Eric Schafer
← Back to fights