UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Las Vegas, USA
23 Mar 2024
Flyweight
VS
10%
Severino
90%
Lima
Win Probability
Igor
Igor Severino
8 – 1
5'7"69" reachOrthodox23 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 7
Andre
Andre Lima
"Mascote"
11 – 0
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak27 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lima

Lima is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lima has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Striking split: Severino throws more volume but Lima connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Severino
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
23+
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Severino
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.1
64.9
0.0
Performance Avg
58.4
0
Quality of Victory
31
0
Momentum Score
100
Severino
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
7
3
Body
5
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance14
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Severino
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Severino
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/9 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Severino
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Severino
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Severino
Lima
Striking0.0 / 2.0Volume0.0 / 6.0Grappling0.0 / 3.2Wrestling0.0 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure0.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Severino
Strike Zones
Lima
Severino
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Lima
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Severino targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (50% of attacks) — Severino absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Severino
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0

Lima · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.2W4.5W4.5W5.5W2024-032024-062024-092025-03
WinLossTrend

Severino · Last 1

L · R2
Andre LimaRating 6.2
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Lima · Last 5

Upcoming
Kevin Borjas
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R3
Daniel BarezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · R2
Igor SeverinoRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Igor Severino · Andre Lima
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