METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
London, United Kingdom
16 Feb 2013
Bantamweight
VS
84%
Lee
16%
Tezuka
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Vaughan LeewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Motonobu Tezuka · UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Lee wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lee is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Lee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lee's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeeTezuka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lee
Tezuka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lee
Tezuka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
2.7
35.8
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Lee
Tezuka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
17%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
3
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
6Clinch0
0Ground0
Lee
Tezuka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lee
Tezuka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/40 fights
Lee
Tezuka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lee
Tezuka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lee
Tezuka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LeeTezuka
Strike Zones
Lee
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTezuka
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (44% of attacks) — Tezuka absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Tezuka targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lee
RND
Tezuka
0/0R00/0
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Tezuka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Sub · R2
Raphael AssuncaoRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Motonobu TezukaRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
Tezuka · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Vaughan LeeRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11