UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
London, United Kingdom
16 Feb 2013
Bantamweight
VS
84%
Lee
16%
Tezuka
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
VL
Vaughan Lee
14 – 13
5'6"66" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
MT
Motonobu Tezuka
28 – 12
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw5'7"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lee

Lee is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Lee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lee's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lee
Tezuka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
43
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lee
Tezuka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
2.7
35.8
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Lee
Tezuka
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
17%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
3
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
6Clinch0
0Ground0
Lee
Tezuka
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lee
Tezuka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/40 fights
Lee
Tezuka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lee
Tezuka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee
Tezuka
Striking0.8 / 0.0Volume6.1 / 0.0Grappling4.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Lee
Strike Zones
Tezuka
Lee
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Tezuka
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (44% of attacks) — Tezuka absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Tezuka targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee
RND
Tezuka
0/0R00/0

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.5L5.0W1.6L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.5L2011-112012-072013-062014-052015-07
WinLossTrend

Tezuka · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.7L5.5L2012-112013-02
WinLossTrend

Lee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Sub · R2
Raphael AssuncaoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Motonobu TezukaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02

Tezuka · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Vaughan LeeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11

News & Media

Vaughan Lee · Motonobu Tezuka
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