UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Featherweight
VS
50%
Sterling
50%
Zalal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Aljamain
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
265
5'7"71" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Youssef
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
186
Well-Rounded29 yrsSwitch72" reach5'10"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sterling

This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 50% vs Zalal at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sterling has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sterling
Zalal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
36
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Sterling
Zalal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
55.2
54.2
Performance Avg
49.7
38
Quality of Victory
38
71
Momentum Score
66
Sterling
Zalal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
0
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance9
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Sterling
Zalal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sterling
Zalal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Sterling
Zalal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
66
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Sterling
Zalal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sterling
Zalal
Striking2.7 / 1.3Volume6.5 / 5.3Grappling3.2 / 5.2Wrestling2.3 / 3.6Submission2.2 / 5.0Pressure4.7 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Sterling
Strike Zones
Zalal
Sterling
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Zalal
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (80% of attacks) — Zalal absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Zalal targets the head (80% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sterling
RND
Zalal
0/0R00/0

Sterling · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.7W5.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.3W4.5W5.0W6.5W5.9W6.0W5.2W6.0W3.6L5.0W6.8L5.9W5.5W2014-022017-042019-062023-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Zalal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W4.5W4.5W7.9L5.7L6.6L6.4W5.0W6.0W5.0W5.1W6.5L2020-022020-102024-032025-022026-04
WinLossTrend

Sterling · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Zalal · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Josh EmmettRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Jarno ErrensRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Aljamain Sterling · Youssef Zalal
← Back to fights