METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Featherweight
VS
50%
Sterling
50%
Zalal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aljamain SterlingwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Youssef Zalal · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sterling
→
Actual result
Sterling wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 50% vs Zalal at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SterlingZalal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sterling
Zalal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Sterling
Zalal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
55.2
54.2
Performance Avg
49.7
38
Quality of Victory
38
71
Momentum Score
66
Sterling
Zalal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
5.5
6.5
Style: Volume
5.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
0
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance9
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Sterling
Zalal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
4
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sterling
Zalal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Sterling
Zalal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
66
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Sterling
Zalal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sterling
Zalal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
SterlingZalal
Strike Zones
Sterling
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedZalal
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (80% of attacks) — Zalal absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Zalal targets the head (80% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sterling
RND
Zalal
0/0R00/0
Sterling · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyKO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Zalal · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Josh EmmettSubmission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Jarno ErrensSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08