METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Featherweight
VS
50%
Sterling
50%
Zalal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aljamain SterlingwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Youssef Zalal · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sterling
→
Actual result
Sterling wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sterling at 50% vs Zalal at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sterling has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SterlingZalal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sterling
Zalal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
36
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Sterling
Zalal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
55.2
54.2
Performance Avg
49.7
38
Quality of Victory
38
71
Momentum Score
66
Sterling
Zalal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
0
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance9
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Sterling
Zalal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sterling
Zalal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Sterling
Zalal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
66
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Sterling
Zalal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sterling
Zalal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
SterlingZalal
Strike Zones
Sterling
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedZalal
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (80% of attacks) — Zalal absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Zalal targets the head (80% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sterling
RND
Zalal
0/0R00/0
Sterling · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Zalal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Sterling · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Zalal · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Josh EmmettRating 5.1Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Jarno ErrensRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08