UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Oct 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
62%
Godinez
38%
Juarez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Godinez
Godinez holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Juarez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Juarez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Striking split: Juarez throws more volume but Godinez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Godinez
Juarez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'3"
61"
Reach
+65"
32+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Godinez
Juarez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
27.5
42.7
Performance Avg
46.0
31
Quality of Victory
60
49
Momentum Score
29
Godinez
Juarez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
38%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance3
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Godinez
Juarez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Godinez
Juarez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Godinez
Juarez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
29
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Godinez
Juarez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Godinez
Juarez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
GodinezJuarez
Strike Zones
Godinez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedJuarez
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Godinez targets the head (73% of attacks) — Juarez absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Juarez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Godinez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Godinez
RND
Juarez
0/0R00/0
Godinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Juarez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Godinez · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tatiana SuarezRating 4.6Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 5.3Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
Juarez · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · KO · R1
Liang NaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 1.6Submission
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
L · Sub · R1
Loopy GodinezRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10