METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Middleweight
VS
94%
Shahbazyan
6%
Budka
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:35
★ Official Result
Edmen ShahbazyanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:35
def. Dylan Budka · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shahbazyan
→
Actual result
Shahbazyan wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Shahbazyan is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 51 points.
Risk flags
Shahbazyan's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Budka has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShahbazyanBudka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shahbazyan
Budka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
28
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Shahbazyan
Budka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.0
3.9
54.6
Performance Avg
0.0
51
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Shahbazyan
Budka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.0
Style: Volume
0.0
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Shahbazyan
Budka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Budka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Shahbazyan
Budka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Shahbazyan
Budka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shahbazyan
Budka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ShahbazyanBudka
Strike Zones
Shahbazyan
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBudka
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (71% of attacks) — Budka absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Budka targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shahbazyan
RND
Budka
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shahbazyan · Last 5
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