UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Middleweight
VS
94%
Shahbazyan
6%
Budka
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:35
Edmen
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
16 – 5
6'2"75" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 63
Dylan
Dylan Budka
"The Mindless Hulk"
7 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide26 yrsSwitch75" reach6'0"
CFR 4

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shahbazyan

Shahbazyan is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 51 points.

Shahbazyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Shahbazyan's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Budka has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shahbazyan
Budka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
28
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Shahbazyan
Budka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
4.3
56.3
Performance Avg
0.0
51
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Shahbazyan
Budka
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
16%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Shahbazyan
Budka
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Budka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Shahbazyan
Budka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Shahbazyan
Budka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shahbazyan
Budka
Striking8.0 / 0.0Volume3.1 / 0.0Grappling1.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.0 / 0.0Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Shahbazyan
Strike Zones
Budka
Shahbazyan
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Budka
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (71% of attacks) — Budka absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Budka targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shahbazyan
RND
Budka
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.3L6.4L4.2L5.2W5.4L5.0W3.8L5.0W5.0W5.9W2018-112020-082023-052025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Budka · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0103.9L6.0L2.9L2024-042024-092025-02
WinLossTrend

Shahbazyan · Last 5

Upcoming
Brendan Allen
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

Budka · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Cesar AlmeidaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

News & Media

Edmen Shahbazyan · Dylan Budka
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