METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Middleweight
VS
94%
Shahbazyan
6%
Budka
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:35
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Edmen ShahbazyanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:35
def. Dylan Budka · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shahbazyan
→
Actual result
Shahbazyan wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Shahbazyan is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 51 points.
Shahbazyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Shahbazyan's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Budka has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShahbazyanBudka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shahbazyan
Budka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
28
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Shahbazyan
Budka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
4.3
56.3
Performance Avg
0.0
51
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Shahbazyan
Budka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
0.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
16%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Shahbazyan
Budka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Budka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Shahbazyan
Budka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Shahbazyan
Budka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shahbazyan
Budka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ShahbazyanBudka
Strike Zones
Shahbazyan
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBudka
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (71% of attacks) — Budka absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Budka targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shahbazyan
RND
Budka
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Budka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Budka · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
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L · KO · R2
Cesar AlmeidaRating 3.9KO/TKO
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