UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
Orlando, USA
19 Apr 2014
Middleweight
VS
60%
Tavares
40%
Romero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tavares
Tavares holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Romero has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Romero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Romero has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tavares
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
38+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tavares
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
24.0
40.1
Performance Avg
56.4
29
Quality of Victory
48
49
Momentum Score
100
Tavares
Romero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
56%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
1
Body
1
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
7Distance7
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Tavares
Romero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/34 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Tavares
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Tavares
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Romero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
TavaresRomero
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRomero
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Romero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Tavares · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Romero · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07