UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
96%
Yakhyaev
4%
Cerqueira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:33
AR
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
"The Hunter"
9 – 0
6'2"78" reachOrthodox25 yrs2-fight win streakSubmission Hunter
CFR 80
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yakhyaev
Yakhyaev is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 77 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yakhyaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Striking split: Cerqueira throws more volume but Yakhyaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cerqueira has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yakhyaev
Cerqueira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
78"+
Reach
76"
25+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Yakhyaev
Cerqueira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
80.2
3.4
72.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Yakhyaev
Cerqueira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Yakhyaev
Cerqueira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Yakhyaev
Cerqueira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
42
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Yakhyaev
Cerqueira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Yakhyaev
Cerqueira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yakhyaev
Cerqueira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
YakhyaevCerqueira
Strike Zones
Yakhyaev
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedCerqueira
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yakhyaev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cerqueira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yakhyaev
RND
Cerqueira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Yakhyaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Cerqueira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Yakhyaev · Last 3
Upcoming
Julius WalkerUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Brendson RibeiroRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Rafael CerqueiraRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
Cerqueira · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Julius WalkerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasRating 2.3KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Ibo AslanRating 2.4KO/TKO
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