Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Rafael Cerqueira — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker

Doha, Qatar

22 Nov 2025

Light Heavyweight

96%

Yakhyaev

Cerqueira

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 0:33

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

"The Hunter"

9 – 0

6'2"78" reachOrthodox25 yrs3-fight win streakPressure Fighter

CFR 81

Rafael Cerqueira

"The Lion"

11 – 4

Well-Rounded4-fight slide36 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'3"

CFR 3

★ Official Result

Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevwinsSubmissionR1 · 0:33

def. Rafael Cerqueira · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Yakhyaev

→

Actual result

Yakhyaev wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Yakhyaev is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 78 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Yakhyaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 56 points.

Risk flags

Cerqueira has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

YakhyaevCerqueira

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Yakhyaev

Cerqueira

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"

Height

+6'3"

78"+

Reach

76"

25+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Yakhyaev

Cerqueira

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

81.1

3.4

73.6

Performance Avg

0.0

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Yakhyaev

Cerqueira

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.3

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

10.0

Style: Pressure

0.0

2.0

Style: Volume

0.0

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance0

0Clinch0

3Ground0

Yakhyaev

Cerqueira

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.3

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

3.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.0

6.7

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Yakhyaev

Cerqueira

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

100

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

4/9 fights

Chin rating based on

4/15 fights

Yakhyaev

Cerqueira

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Yakhyaev

Cerqueira

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Yakhyaev

Cerqueira

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.0

5.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

3.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

6.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

10.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.0

2.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.0

Yakhyaev

Strike Zones

Cerqueira

Yakhyaev

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Cerqueira

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Yakhyaev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cerqueira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Yakhyaev

RND

Cerqueira

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Yakhyaev · Last 4

Upcoming

Nikita Krylov

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10

W · KO · R1

Julius Walker

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06

W · Sub · R1

Brendson Ribeiro

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04

W · Sub · R1

Rafael Cerqueira

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

Cerqueira · Last 4

L · Sub · R1

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

L · Dec · R3

Julius Walker

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

L · KO · R1

Modestas Bukauskas

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

L · KO · R1

Ibo Aslan

KO/TKO

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News & Media

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Rafael Cerqueira

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