UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Middleweight
VS
53%
Strickland
47%
Magomedov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Strickland
This is a genuine toss-up — Strickland at 53% vs Magomedov at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Magomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magomedov has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Strickland
Magomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
76"
Reach
+78"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Strickland
Magomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
50.4
50.9
Performance Avg
46.1
37
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
63
Strickland
Magomedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
70
Head
11
0
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
56Distance15
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Strickland
Magomedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strickland
Magomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
8/35 fights
Strickland
Magomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Strickland
Magomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Strickland
Magomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
StricklandMagomedov
Strike Zones
Strickland
Attacking
70 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMagomedov
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
70 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Strickland targets the head (100% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Magomedov targets the head (73% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Strickland
RND
Magomedov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Magomedov · Last 5
Upcoming
Michal OleksiejczukUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.8Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05