UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2014
Middleweight
VS
44%
Hall
56%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
This is a genuine toss-up — Hall at 44% vs Santos at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Hall connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hall's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hall
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
79"+
Reach
76"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hall
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
32.2
47.8
Performance Avg
54.0
45
Quality of Victory
51
45
Momentum Score
91
Hall
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
2
Body
4
7
Leg
7
RangeRange
17Distance8
0Clinch5
0Ground3
Hall
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hall
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Hall
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Hall
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
79%
6
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hall
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
HallSantos
Strike Zones
Hall
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedSantos
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hall targets the head (47% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hall
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Hall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Chris WeidmanRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · KO · R4
Anderson SilvaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11