The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2010
Lightweight
VS
88%
McKenzie
12%
Wilkinson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McKenzie
McKenzie is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McKenzie has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Risk flags
McKenzie's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McKenzie
Wilkinson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
38+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
McKenzie
Wilkinson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
2.5
43.7
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
72
Momentum Score
0
McKenzie
Wilkinson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
—
32%
Strike Accuracy
0%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McKenzie
Wilkinson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.9
Sub Attempts / fight
6.0
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McKenzie
Wilkinson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/26 fights
Chin rating based on
1/18 fights
McKenzie
Wilkinson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
McKenzie
Wilkinson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McKenzie
Wilkinson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McKenzie
RND
Wilkinson
0/0R00/0
McKenzie · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
McKenzie · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Sub · R1
Marcus LeVesseurRating 5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · Sub · R2
Vagner RochaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
Wilkinson · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Cody McKenzieRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12