METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Atlantic City, USA
30 Mar 2024
Featherweight
VS
93%
Buzukja
7%
Matthews
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:22
★ Official Result
Dennis BuzukjawinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:22
def. Connor Matthews · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Buzukja
→
Actual result
Buzukja wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Buzukja is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Buzukja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Risk flags
Buzukja's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Matthews has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BuzukjaMatthews
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buzukja
Matthews
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
28+
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Switch
Buzukja
Matthews
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
3.5
36.7
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Buzukja
Matthews
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.3
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Buzukja
Matthews
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Buzukja
Matthews
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Buzukja
Matthews
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Buzukja
Matthews
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buzukja
Matthews
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BuzukjaMatthews
Strike Zones
Buzukja
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMatthews
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buzukja targets the head (75% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buzukja
RND
Matthews
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Buzukja · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GradSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Marcio BarbosaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis MarshallDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R3
Connor MatthewsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Matthews · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Yadier del ValleSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Jose DelgadoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · KO · R3
Dennis BuzukjaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03