UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Atlantic City, USA
30 Mar 2024
Featherweight
VS
93%
Buzukja
7%
Matthews
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Buzukja
Buzukja is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Buzukja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Buzukja has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Buzukja's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Matthews has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Buzukja
Matthews
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+71"
28+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Switch
Buzukja
Matthews
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
3.5
38.0
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Buzukja
Matthews
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
24%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Buzukja
Matthews
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Buzukja
Matthews
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Buzukja
Matthews
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Buzukja
Matthews
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buzukja
Matthews
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BuzukjaMatthews
Strike Zones
Buzukja
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMatthews
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buzukja targets the head (75% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buzukja
RND
Matthews
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Buzukja · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Matthews · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Buzukja · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcio BarbosaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis MarshallRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R3
Connor MatthewsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
Matthews · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Yadier del ValleRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Jose DelgadoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · KO · R3
Dennis BuzukjaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03