Marina Rodriguez vs Jessica Aguilar — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje

Philadelphia, USA

30 Mar 2019

Women's Strawweight

85%

Rodriguez

15%

Aguilar

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Marina Rodriguez

17 – 6

5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 49

Jessica Aguilar

"Jag"

20 – 8

Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'3"

CFR 9

★ Official Result

Marina RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Jessica Aguilar · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Rodriguez

→

Actual result

Rodriguez wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

RodriguezAguilar

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Rodriguez

Aguilar

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"+

Height

5'3"

65"+

Reach

63"

39+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Rodriguez

Aguilar

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

48.6

8.6

41.7

Performance Avg

23.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Rodriguez

Aguilar

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.9

/ 10

0.4

/ 10

3.6

Style: Pressure

0.6

6.8

Style: Volume

8.4

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

39Distance15

9Clinch8

0Ground0

Rodriguez

Aguilar

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.7

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

1.2

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Rodriguez

Aguilar

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.5 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

15/23 fights

Chin rating based on

5/28 fights

Rodriguez

Aguilar

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Rodriguez

Aguilar

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

29%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez

Aguilar

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.4

1.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

1.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

3.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.6

6.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.4

Rodriguez

Strike Zones

Aguilar

Rodriguez

Attacking

48 landed

Absorbing

23 absorbed

Aguilar

Attacking

23 landed

Absorbing

48 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Rodriguez targets the head (35% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 35% of strikes there

🎯Aguilar targets the head (65% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez

RND

Aguilar

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Gillian Robertson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

L · Dec · R3

Iasmin Lucindo

Decision

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Jessica Andrade

Decision

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

W · KO · R2

Michelle Waterson-Gomez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09

L · Dec · R3

Virna Jandiroba

Decision

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Aguilar · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Marina Rodriguez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03

L · Sub · R1

Zhang Weili

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11

W · Dec · R3

Jodie Esquibel

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07

L · Dec · R3

Cortney Casey

Decision

UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05

L · Dec · R3

Claudia Gadelha

Decision

UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08

News & Media

Marina Rodriguez · Jessica Aguilar

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