UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
85%
Rodriguez
15%
Aguilar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marina
Marina Rodriguez
17 – 6
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
JA
Jessica Aguilar
"Jag"
20 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'3"
CFR 9

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Aguilar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez
Aguilar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
63"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Aguilar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
8.6
41.7
Performance Avg
23.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
83
Momentum Score
15
Rodriguez
Aguilar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
15
15
Body
8
16
Leg
0
RangeRange
39Distance15
9Clinch8
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Aguilar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Aguilar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/28 fights
Rodriguez
Aguilar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Aguilar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Aguilar
Striking3.9 / 0.4Volume6.8 / 8.4Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 0.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Aguilar
Rodriguez
Attacking
17HEAD15BODY16LEGS48 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD8BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Aguilar
Attacking
15HEAD8BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD15BODY16LEGS48 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (35% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 35% of strikes there
🎯Aguilar targets the head (65% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Aguilar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.2W5.8L5.4W4.5W5.7W5.5W3.8L6.2L5.2W6.3L6.4L4.0L2019-032021-052023-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Aguilar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.5L4.5W3.3L6.2L2015-082017-052018-072018-112019-03
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Aguilar · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Zhang WeiliRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Jodie EsquibelRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Claudia GadelhaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08

News & Media

Marina Rodriguez · Jessica Aguilar
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