METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Bantamweight
VS
87%
Grant
13%
Martinetti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Davey GrantwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Adrian Luna Martinetti · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grant
→
Actual result
Grant wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Grant is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grant has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrantMartinetti
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grant
Martinetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+71"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Martinetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
7.8
44.2
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Grant
Martinetti
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.6
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
23
18
Body
14
16
Leg
6
RangeRange
57Distance38
7Clinch5
0Ground0
Grant
Martinetti
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Martinetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
1/19 fights
Grant
Martinetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Grant
Martinetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Martinetti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GrantMartinetti
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
64 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedMartinetti
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
64 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (47% of attacks) — Martinetti absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Martinetti targets the head (53% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Martinetti
0/0R00/0
Grant · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Adrian Luna MartinettiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainSubmission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Martinetti · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04