UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Bantamweight
VS
87%
Grant
13%
Martinetti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Davey
Davey Grant
"Dangerous"
18 – 8
5'8"69" reachOrthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 52
AL
Adrian Luna Martinetti
17 – 2
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 8

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Grant

Grant is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Grant has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.

Martinetti has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Grant's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Grant
Martinetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+71"
40
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Martinetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
7.8
44.2
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Grant
Martinetti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
23
18
Body
14
16
Leg
6
RangeRange
57Distance38
7Clinch5
0Ground0
Grant
Martinetti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Martinetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
1/19 fights
Grant
Martinetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Grant
Martinetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Grant
Martinetti
Striking4.5 / 0.0Volume5.6 / 0.0Grappling2.2 / 0.0Wrestling1.6 / 0.0Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Grant
Strike Zones
Martinetti
Grant
Attacking
30HEAD18BODY16LEGS64 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD14BODY6LEGS43 absorbed
Martinetti
Attacking
23HEAD14BODY6LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD18BODY16LEGS64 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (47% of attacks) — Martinetti absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Martinetti targets the head (53% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Grant
RND
Martinetti
0/0R00/0

Grant · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0102.8L5.3W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5W5.8W6.3L6.9L5.5W5.5W6.8L4.5W5.5W2.3L4.5W2013-112019-112021-112024-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Grant · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Adrian Luna MartinettiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Martinetti · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04

News & Media

Davey Grant · Adrian Luna Martinetti
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