★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Houston, USA
3 Oct 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Cormier
49%
Gustafsson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
DC
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
22 – 3
5'11"72" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
AG
Alexander Gustafsson
"The Mauler"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded4-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cormier

This is a genuine toss-up — Cormier at 51% vs Gustafsson at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cormier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Striking split: Gustafsson throws more volume but Cormier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Gustafsson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cormier
Gustafsson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'5"
72"
Reach
+79"
47
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cormier
Gustafsson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.9
24.8
68.1
Performance Avg
50.3
61
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
39
Cormier
Gustafsson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
15
2
Body
2
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance15
13Clinch3
0Ground0
Cormier
Gustafsson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
4
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cormier
Gustafsson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Cormier
Gustafsson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Cormier
Gustafsson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
70%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cormier
Gustafsson
Striking4.3 / 6.1Volume4.5 / 3.5Grappling3.8 / 2.3Wrestling2.6 / 1.6Submission3.6 / 2.0Pressure6.8 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Cormier
Strike Zones
Gustafsson
Cormier
Attacking
23HEAD2BODY6LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Gustafsson
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD2BODY6LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cormier targets the head (74% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (83% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cormier
RND
Gustafsson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cormier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W7.3L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.1W5.9W6.1W6.3W4.4L6.6L2013-042015-012017-042019-082020-08
WinLossTrend

Gustafsson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W1.5L5.2W5.0W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W7.3L5.1W1.5L5.5L5.1W5.9W4.5L4.5L1.5L2.7L2009-112011-122015-012019-062022-07
WinLossTrend

Cormier · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01

Gustafsson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05

News & Media

Daniel Cormier · Alexander Gustafsson
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