METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Houston, USA
3 Oct 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Cormier
49%
Gustafsson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel CormierwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Alexander Gustafsson · UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cormier
→
Actual result
Cormier wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cormier at 51% vs Gustafsson at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cormier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Gustafsson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CormierGustafsson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cormier
Gustafsson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'5"
72"
Reach
+79"
47
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cormier
Gustafsson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.9
24.8
68.1
Performance Avg
50.3
61
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
39
Cormier
Gustafsson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
6.6
4.5
Style: Volume
3.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
15
2
Body
2
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance15
13Clinch3
0Ground0
Cormier
Gustafsson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
4
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cormier
Gustafsson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Cormier
Gustafsson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Cormier
Gustafsson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
70%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cormier
Gustafsson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
CormierGustafsson
Strike Zones
Cormier
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedGustafsson
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cormier targets the head (74% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (83% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cormier
RND
Gustafsson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cormier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicDecision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicKO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisSubmission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicKO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirKO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
Gustafsson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesKO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05