UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Melbourne, Australia
14 Nov 2015
Flyweight
VS
45%
Vaculik
55%
Martinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Martinez
This is a genuine toss-up — Vaculik at 45% vs Martinez at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Vaculik has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Vaculik's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vaculik
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
67"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vaculik
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
10.7
25.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
22
Momentum Score
33
Vaculik
Martinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
27%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
1
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance4
2Clinch2
5Ground2
Vaculik
Martinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vaculik
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/29 fights
Vaculik
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Vaculik
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vaculik
Martinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
VaculikMartinez
Strike Zones
Vaculik
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMartinez
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vaculik targets the head (80% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (63% of attacks) — Vaculik absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vaculik
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
Vaculik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Vaculik · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Roldan Sangcha'anRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
L · KO · R1
Justin ScogginsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
Martinez · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Richie VaculikRating 4.5Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Sirwan KakaiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris CariasoRating 5.5Decision
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