METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3
Tokyo, Japan
14 Apr 2000
Heavyweight
VS
88%
Waterman
12%
Honma
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ron WatermanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Satoshi Honma · UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Waterman
→
Actual result
Waterman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Waterman is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Waterman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Waterman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WatermanHonma
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Waterman
Honma
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
60
Age
+58
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Waterman
Honma
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
2.7
52.2
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
75
Momentum Score
0
Waterman
Honma
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
33%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Waterman
Honma
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Waterman
Honma
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Waterman
Honma
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
0
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Waterman
Honma
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Waterman
Honma
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WatermanHonma
Strike Zones
Waterman
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHonma
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Waterman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Honma absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Honma targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Waterman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Waterman
RND
Honma
0/0R00/0
Waterman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Waterman · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Satoshi HonmaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3 · 2000-04
Upcoming
Tim LajcikDecision
UFC 22: Only One Can be Champion · 1999-09
L · KO · R1
Andre RobertsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
W · KO · R1
Chris CondoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 20: Battle for the Gold · 1999-05
Honma · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Ron WatermanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3 · 2000-04