UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
51%
Jedrzejczyk
49%
Waterson-Gomez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
JJ
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
16 – 5
5'6"65" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
Michelle
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
"The Karate Hottie"
18 – 13
Well-Rounded5-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'3"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jedrzejczyk

This is a genuine toss-up — Jedrzejczyk at 51% vs Waterson-Gomez at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Jedrzejczyk throws more volume but Waterson-Gomez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Jedrzejczyk's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Waterson-Gomez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jedrzejczyk
Waterson-Gomez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
62"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jedrzejczyk
Waterson-Gomez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
26.5
52.9
Performance Avg
36.8
44
Quality of Victory
35
58
Momentum Score
0
Jedrzejczyk
Waterson-Gomez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
9
Body
0
10
Leg
9
RangeRange
27Distance12
6Clinch1
0Ground0
Jedrzejczyk
Waterson-Gomez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jedrzejczyk
Waterson-Gomez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
15/31 fights
Jedrzejczyk
Waterson-Gomez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
Jedrzejczyk
Waterson-Gomez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jedrzejczyk
Waterson-Gomez
Striking3.3 / 0.8Volume7.7 / 6.1Grappling1.9 / 4.3Wrestling1.3 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure3.4 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Jedrzejczyk
Strike Zones
Waterson-Gomez
Jedrzejczyk
Attacking
14HEAD9BODY10LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY9LEGS13 absorbed
Waterson-Gomez
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY9LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD9BODY10LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the head (42% of attacks) — Waterson-Gomez absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Waterson-Gomez targets the legs (69% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jedrzejczyk
RND
Waterson-Gomez
0/0R00/0

Jedrzejczyk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.4W5.3W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.3W2.9L6.9L5.2W6.9L4.5W7.3L4.6L2014-072015-112017-112019-102022-06
WinLossTrend

Waterson-Gomez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.0W4.2L6.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.8L4.6W6.2L3.8L5.5L3.4L6.7L2015-072018-042020-052023-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Jedrzejczyk · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07

Waterson-Gomez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Marina RodriguezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05

News & Media

Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Michelle Waterson-Gomez
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