METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2009
Heavyweight
VS
91%
Mitrione
9%
Jones
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:10
★ Official Result
Matt MitrionewinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:10
def. Marcus Jones · The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mitrione
→
Actual result
Mitrione wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Mitrione is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mitrione has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Risk flags
Mitrione's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MitrioneJones
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mitrione
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'6"
82"
Reach
48+
Age
52
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Mitrione
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
2.2
58.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
82
Momentum Score
0
Mitrione
Jones
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
—
55%
Strike Accuracy
0%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
8 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Mitrione
Jones
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Mitrione
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/17 fights
Chin rating based on
1/6 fights
Mitrione
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mitrione
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
0%
8
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mitrione
Jones
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MitrioneJones
Strike Zones
Mitrione
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedJones
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mitrione targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mitrione
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mitrione · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Mitrione · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Travis BrowneRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
Jones · Last 1
L · KO · R2
Matt MitrioneRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12