UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
23 Jun 2012
Featherweight
VS
57%
Alcantara
43%
Dias
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Alcantara
This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 57% vs Dias at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Alcantara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Alcantara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alcantara
Dias
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
69"
45
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Dias
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
12.7
48.0
Performance Avg
30.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
50
Alcantara
Dias
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
2
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Alcantara
Dias
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alcantara
Dias
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
8/29 fights
Alcantara
Dias
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
50
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Alcantara
Dias
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Dias
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
AlcantaraDias
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedDias
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dias absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Dias targets the head (33% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Dias
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Dias · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Dias · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6Decision
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Levan MakashviliRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12