METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2017
Flyweight
VS
62%
Johnson
38%
Reis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:49
★ Official Result
Demetrious JohnsonwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:49
def. Wilson Reis · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Reis has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonReis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
15.5
69.9
Performance Avg
41.5
58
Quality of Victory
33
85
Momentum Score
65
Johnson
Reis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
3.6
6.0
Style: Volume
6.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
0
4
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
21Distance6
1Clinch0
16Ground0
Johnson
Reis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
38
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Johnson
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
65
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Johnson
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Reis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
JohnsonReis
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedReis
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (87% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the legs (83% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoDecision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgSubmission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaKO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04