METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Broomfield, USA
21 Mar 2010
Lightweight
VS
19%
Ludwig
81%
Elkins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:44
★ Official Result
Darren ElkinswinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:44
def. Duane Ludwig · UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Elkins wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ludwig's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LudwigElkins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ludwig
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
48
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ludwig
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.1
44.3
38.0
Performance Avg
45.5
34
Quality of Victory
35
10
Momentum Score
66
Ludwig
Elkins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
4.4
6.9
Style: Volume
6.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ludwig
Elkins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.6
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ludwig
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
31/41 fights
Ludwig
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
66
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ludwig
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
37%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ludwig
Elkins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
LudwigElkins
Strike Zones
Ludwig
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedElkins
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ludwig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ludwig
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0
Ludwig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Che MillsKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R1
Dan HardyKO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Josh NeerSubmission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahDecision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Nick OsipczakDecision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12