UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Middleweight
VS
57%
Njokuani
43%
Todorovic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Njokuani
This is a genuine toss-up — Njokuani at 57% vs Todorovic at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Todorovic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Todorovic throws more volume but Njokuani connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Njokuani's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Todorovic has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Njokuani
Todorovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
74"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Njokuani
Todorovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.8
43.1
47.0
Performance Avg
49.6
45
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
13
Njokuani
Todorovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
3.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
55%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
8
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance0
9Clinch4
0Ground1
Njokuani
Todorovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Njokuani
Todorovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/37 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Njokuani
Todorovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
13
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Njokuani
Todorovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Njokuani
Todorovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
NjokuaniTodorovic
Strike Zones
Njokuani
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTodorovic
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Njokuani targets the body (57% of attacks) — Todorovic absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Todorovic targets the head (80% of attacks) — Njokuani absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Njokuani
RND
Todorovic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Njokuani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Todorovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Njokuani · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Carlos LealRating 6.3Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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W · KO · R2
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W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5Decision
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Todorovic · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaRating 5Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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Mansur Abdul-MalikRating 3.4KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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