UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
12 Oct 2024
Welterweight
VS
60%
Rodriguez
40%
Morono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
Rodriguez holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Morono has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rodriguez
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.3
35.0
50.7
Performance Avg
43.3
37
Quality of Victory
35
70
Momentum Score
20
Rodriguez
Morono
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.9
2.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
18
27
Body
2
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
48Distance20
6Clinch0
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Morono
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
20
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/25 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Rodriguez
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
20
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
31%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Morono
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
RodriguezMorono
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
54 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedMorono
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
54 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the body (50% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (90% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Morono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
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