UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Welterweight
VS
72%
Naurdiev
28%
Rencountre
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ismail
Ismail Naurdiev
25 – 8
5'10"74" reachOrthodox29 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 45
CR
Chance Rencountre
"Black Eagle"
14 – 4
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'2"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Naurdiev

Naurdiev is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Naurdiev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Naurdiev
Rencountre
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
29+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Naurdiev
Rencountre
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.4
18.0
43.1
Performance Avg
43.7
34
Quality of Victory
40
45
Momentum Score
69
Naurdiev
Rencountre
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.4
58%
Strike Accuracy
27%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
4Clinch1
1Ground0
Naurdiev
Rencountre
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Naurdiev
Rencountre
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/33 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Naurdiev
Rencountre
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
69
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Naurdiev
Rencountre
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Naurdiev
Rencountre
Striking3.6 / 1.0Volume7.1 / 5.0Grappling1.8 / 5.2Wrestling1.3 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure3.5 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Naurdiev
Strike Zones
Rencountre
Naurdiev
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Rencountre
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Naurdiev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rencountre absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rencountre targets the head (50% of attacks) — Naurdiev absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Naurdiev
RND
Rencountre
0/0R00/0

Naurdiev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W6.6L5.8W6.6L6.8W2019-022019-092024-102025-11
WinLossTrend

Rencountre · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.6L5.0W5.0W4.0L2018-062019-012019-072019-11
WinLossTrend

Naurdiev · Last 5

Upcoming
Marvin Vettori
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Ryan LoderRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02

Rencountre · Last 4

L · KO · R3
Lyman GoodRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 5
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Sub · R1
Kyle StewartRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06

News & Media

Ismail Naurdiev · Chance Rencountre
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