METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2025
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Talbott
45%
Lima
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Payton TalbottwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felipe Lima · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Talbott
→
Actual result
Talbott wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Talbott at 55% vs Lima at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Talbott has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TalbottLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Talbott
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
28
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Talbott
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.5
54.6
58.5
Performance Avg
49.0
42
Quality of Victory
32
86
Momentum Score
72
Talbott
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
4.6
4.9
Style: Volume
6.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
4
3
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance6
0Clinch1
6Ground0
Talbott
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Talbott
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Talbott
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
72
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Talbott
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Talbott
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
TalbottLima
Strike Zones
Talbott
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedLima
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Talbott targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (57% of attacks) — Talbott absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Talbott
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Talbott · Last 5
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