METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Newark, USA
3 Aug 2019
Welterweight
VS
94%
Silva
6%
Williams
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:35
★ Official Result
Claudio SilvawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:35
def. Cole Williams · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Silva is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaWilliams
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.7
2.1
49.4
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
92
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Williams
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
27%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
2
5
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance2
1Clinch0
23Ground0
Silva
Williams
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Silva
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Silva
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SilvaWilliams
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (78% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
W · Sub · R1
Cole WilliamsRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
W · Sub · R3
Danny RobertsRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
Williams · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Jason WittRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Claudio SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08