UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Newark, USA
3 Aug 2019
Welterweight
VS
94%
Silva
6%
Williams
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:35
CS
Claudio Silva
"Hannibal"
14 – 4
5'11"71" reachSouthpaw43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 34
CW
Cole Williams
"Havoc"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

Silva is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Silva
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.7
2.1
49.4
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
92
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Williams
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
27%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
2
5
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance2
1Clinch0
23Ground0
Silva
Williams
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Silva
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Silva
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Williams
Striking1.3 / 0.0Volume4.5 / 0.0Grappling5.8 / 0.0Wrestling4.0 / 0.0Submission6.0 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Silva
Strike Zones
Williams
Silva
Attacking
25HEAD5BODY2LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Williams
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD5BODY2LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (78% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.6W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.7L5.8L2014-032018-052019-082021-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Williams · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.1
0101.5L2.8L2019-082020-10
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
W · Sub · R1
Cole WilliamsRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
W · Sub · R3
Danny RobertsRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03

Williams · Last 2

L · Sub · R2
Jason WittRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Claudio SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

News & Media

Claudio Silva · Cole Williams
← Back to fights