METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Dublin, Ireland
19 Jul 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
21%
Donovan
79%
Krylov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:57
★ Official Result
Nikita KrylovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:57
def. Cody Donovan · UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krylov
→
Actual result
Krylov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Krylov is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Donovan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Donovan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Donovan's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Krylov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DonovanKrylov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Donovan
Krylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
45
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Donovan
Krylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
59.8
46.0
Performance Avg
52.7
60
Quality of Victory
50
22
Momentum Score
100
Donovan
Krylov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
2.0
62%
Strike Accuracy
60%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
29
4
Body
9
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
6Distance11
14Clinch21
1Ground10
Donovan
Krylov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Donovan
Krylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
22/42 fights
Donovan
Krylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Donovan
Krylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
5
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Donovan
Krylov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.2
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
DonovanKrylov
Strike Zones
Donovan
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedKrylov
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Donovan targets the head (81% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Krylov targets the head (69% of attacks) — Donovan absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Donovan
RND
Krylov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Donovan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Krylov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Donovan · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Nick PennerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
Krylov · Last 5
Upcoming
Robert WhittakerUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03