METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Dublin, Ireland
19 Jul 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
21%
Donovan
79%
Krylov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:57
★ Official Result
Nikita KrylovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:57
def. Cody Donovan · UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krylov
→
Actual result
Krylov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Krylov is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Donovan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Donovan's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Krylov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DonovanKrylov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Donovan
Krylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
45
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Donovan
Krylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
59.2
46.0
Performance Avg
51.6
60
Quality of Victory
50
22
Momentum Score
100
Donovan
Krylov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
7.5
0.5
Style: Volume
2.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
29
4
Body
9
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
6Distance11
14Clinch21
1Ground10
Donovan
Krylov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.2
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Donovan
Krylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
23/42 fights
Donovan
Krylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Donovan
Krylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
5
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Donovan
Krylov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.2
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
DonovanKrylov
Strike Zones
Donovan
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedKrylov
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Donovan targets the head (81% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Krylov targets the head (69% of attacks) — Donovan absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Donovan
RND
Krylov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Donovan · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteKO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Nick PennerKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
Krylov · Last 5
Upcoming
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · KO · R3
Robert WhittakerKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasKO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04