METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2026
Welterweight
VS
36%
Ponzinibbio
64%
Patterson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:06
★ Official Result
Sam PattersonwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:06
def. Santiago Ponzinibbio · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Patterson
→
Actual result
Patterson wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Patterson holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Ponzinibbio has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Patterson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PonzinibbioPatterson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ponzinibbio
Patterson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+78"
39
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Patterson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.9
72.6
49.4
Performance Avg
62.5
44
Quality of Victory
57
26
Momentum Score
98
Ponzinibbio
Patterson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.0
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
9.1
4.5
Style: Volume
1.4
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
33
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance30
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Ponzinibbio
Patterson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Patterson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/40 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Ponzinibbio
Patterson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Ponzinibbio
Patterson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Patterson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.1
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
PonzinibbioPatterson
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedPatterson
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (75% of attacks) — Patterson absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Patterson targets the head (94% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Patterson
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Sam PattersonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Patterson · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Trey WatersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Danny BarlowKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Kiefer CrosbieSubmission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07