METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till
Liverpool, United Kingdom
27 May 2018
Featherweight
VS
85%
Allen
15%
Burnell
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:41
★ Official Result
Arnold AllenwinsSubmissionR3 · 2:41
def. Mads Burnell · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Allen
→
Actual result
Allen wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Allen is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Allen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AllenBurnell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Allen
Burnell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
32
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Burnell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.3
10.8
52.8
Performance Avg
28.3
35
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
33
Allen
Burnell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
33%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Allen
Burnell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Allen
Burnell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Allen
Burnell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Allen
Burnell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Allen
Burnell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
AllenBurnell
Strike Zones
Allen
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBurnell
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burnell absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Burnell targets the head (50% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Allen
RND
Burnell
0/0R00/0
Allen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Burnell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Allen · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Burnell · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Arnold AllenRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Mike SantiagoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · Sub · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09