UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
23 Jul 2022
Featherweight
VS
72%
Wood
28%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nathaniel
Nathaniel Wood
"The Last Kingsman"
23 – 6
5'6"69" reachOrthodox33 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 51
CR
Charles Rosa
"Boston Strong"
14 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsSwitch69" reach5'9"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wood

Wood is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wood has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rosa has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Wood
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
69"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Wood
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
19.4
50.2
Performance Avg
36.3
31
Quality of Victory
35
60
Momentum Score
20
Wood
Rosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.8
55%
Strike Accuracy
36%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
0
Body
6
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance10
3Clinch3
1Ground1
Wood
Rosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wood
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/29 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Wood
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
20
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Wood
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wood
Rosa
Striking1.6 / 0.8Volume7.4 / 5.6Grappling3.9 / 4.6Wrestling2.8 / 3.3Submission2.7 / 4.0Pressure4.3 / 4.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Wood
Strike Zones
Rosa
Wood
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY10LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD6BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Rosa
Attacking
6HEAD6BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY10LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (63% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (43% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wood
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0

Wood · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.3W5.5L4.5W5.3W5.2W6.7L5.4W5.7W6.0W4.5W2018-062020-072023-072025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W7.1L4.5W4.0L5.0W6.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.8L5.5L6.3L2014-102017-042021-022022-07
WinLossTrend

Wood · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Losene KeitaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 6
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad NaimovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Rosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02

News & Media

Nathaniel Wood · Charles Rosa
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