METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
23 Jul 2022
Featherweight
VS
72%
Wood
28%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nathaniel WoodwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Charles Rosa · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Wood
→
Actual result
Wood wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Wood is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rosa has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WoodRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Wood
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
69"
33+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Wood
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.3
19.4
48.1
Performance Avg
36.3
31
Quality of Victory
35
60
Momentum Score
20
Wood
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
4.0
7.3
Style: Volume
5.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
0
Body
6
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance10
3Clinch3
1Ground1
Wood
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wood
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Wood
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Wood
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wood
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
WoodRosa
Strike Zones
Wood
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedRosa
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (63% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (43% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wood
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
Wood · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownDecision
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Justin JaynesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerDecision
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